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Table 3 Relative percent of ‘no benefit’, ‘harm’, and ‘benefit’ assuming a three and four year waiting time and 20% of wait list inactive with 2.2-fold higher mortality rate

From: Eligibility for the kidney transplant wait list: a model for conceptualizing patient risk

Mortality: deaths per 100 patient years (Life expectancy) Waiting time No benefit (%)a Harm (%) Benefit (%) Ratio harm/benefit
15 (6.7 years)     
3 year 36 25 39 0.63
4 year 45 20 33  
20 (5 years)     
3 year 45 27 29 0.93
4 year 55 22 23  
25 (4 years)     
3 year 53 27 20 1.3
4 year 63 22 15  
30 (3.3 years)     
3 year 60 26 14 1.8
4 year 70 19 11  
35 (2.9 years)     
3 year 65 25 11 2.4
4 year 75 18 8  
  1. aDoes not take into account removal off the wait list. Values were rounded and may not add to 100%.